社會科學期刊上登載的文章不適合被公眾消費，它們也本能地拒絕成為公眾消費品。在這些作者眼中，學術文章的讀者群大多是抱著敵意而來，即便沒有敵意，也至少是抱著疑慮。所以作者們不會費盡心思去吸引讀者，更別說去討好讀者了。他們只希望讀者能放他們生路。因此，比起拜讀作者的作品，我更願意與作者進行直接交流，因為這能讓我對他們的學術觀點有一個更清晰、更直接的認識，一份讓人感到愉快的領悟——當然，文章我是一定要讀的。
特沃斯基和卡尼曼的學術文章卻是個很特殊的例外。儘管他們的研究只針對非常有限的讀者群，但是他們好像預感到，未來會有來自各個領域的人成為他們的忠實讀者。丹尼爾的著作《思考，快與慢》就是一本針對普通人的書，普通讀者從中受益良多。實際上，我曾親眼見證丹尼爾為這本書嘔心瀝血，耗費數年時間。我還有幸讀過他初稿中的部分章節。丹尼爾的文字和他的言談一樣，風趣十足。然而每隔幾個月，他就會絕望地想要徹底放棄寫作——在他自毀名譽之前。為了阻止書稿的出版，他曾出錢給朋友，讓他去找些人來說服自己不要出書。正式出版後，該書登上了《紐約時報》的暢銷書榜單。有一次，他遇到了另一個朋友，據這個朋友說，他從沒見過哪個作者對自己的成功抱這樣奇怪的態度。「你不會相信發生了什麼，」丹尼爾一臉狐疑地對他說，「《紐約時報》的那些人弄錯了，他們把我的書放進了暢銷書榜單！」過了幾個星期，他又一次碰到那個朋友。「太難以置信了，」丹尼爾說，「《紐約時報》那幫人把我的書放進了暢銷書榜單，現在只能將錯就錯了！」
衷心建議我的讀者們也去讀一讀丹尼爾的大作。對於熱愛心理學的讀者，我還要推薦另外兩本書，是它們讓我進入了這個領域。一本是八卷本的《心理學百科全書》，它會幫你解答所有有關心理學的問題，語言清晰直白。另一本是九卷本的（還在擴充）《心理學史》，它能幫你解答有關心理學家的所有問題，儘管語言不如第一本那麼簡單明瞭。這部巨著的第一卷是在1930年出版的，之後陸續出版了後續卷章，在心理學家的大力推動下，新內容還在被源源不斷地補充進去。
當然，在完成本書的過程中，我參考的書籍遠不止於此。以下就將所有文獻逐一列出。
引言 歷史彌新的問題：思維在做什麼
Thaler, Richard H., and Cass R. Sunstein. 「Who』s on First.」 New Republic , August 31, 2003. https://newrepublic.com/article/61123/whos-first
第一章 NBA的數據模型：達裡爾·莫雷
Rutenberg, Jim. 「The Republican Horse Race Is Over, and Journalism Lost.」 New York Times , May 9, 2016.
第二章 局外人：丹尼爾·卡尼曼
Meehl, Paul E. Clinical versus Statistical Prediction . Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1954.
——. 「Psychology: Does Our Heterogeneous Subject Matter Have Any Unity?」 Minnesota Psychologist 35 (1986): 3–9.
第三章 局內人：阿莫斯·特沃斯基
Edwards, Ward. 「The Theory of Decision Making.」 Psychological Bulletin 51, no. 4 (1954): 380–417. https://worthylab.tamu.edu/courses_files/01_edwards_1954.pdf.
Guttman, Louis. 「What Is Not What in Statistics.」 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 26, no. 2 (1977): 81–107. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2987957.
May, Kenneth. 「A Set of Independent Necessary and Sufficient Cond tions for Simple Majority Decision.」 Econometrica 20, no. 4 (1952): 680–84.
Rosch, Eleanor, Carolyn B. Mervis, Wayne D. Gray, David M. Johnson,and Penny Boyes-Braem. 「Basic Objects in Natural Categories.」 Cognitive Psychology 8 (1976): 382–439. https://www.cns.nyu.edu/~msl/ courses/2223/Readings/Rosch-CogPsych1976.pdf.
Tversky, Amos. 「The Intransitivity of Preferences.」 Psychological Review 76 (1969): 31–48.
——. 「Features of Similarity.」 Psychological Review 84, no. 4 (1977):327–52. https://www.ai.mit.edu/projects/dm/Tversky-features.pdf.
第四章 回到以色列
Hess, Eckhard H. 「Attitude and Pupil Size.」 Scientific American , April 1965, 46–54.
Miller, George A. 「The Magical Number Seven, Plus or Minus Two:Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing Information.」 Psychological Review 63 (1956): 81–97.
第五章 碰撞：小白鼠與巨蟒
Friedman, Milton. 「The Methodology of Positive Economics.」 In Essays in Positive Economics , edited by Milton Friedman, 3–46. Chicago:University of Chicago Press, 1953.
Krantz, David H., R. Duncan Luce, Patrick Suppes, and Amos Tversky. Foundations of Measurement —Vol. I: Additive and Polynomial Representations ; Vol. II: Geometrical, Threshold, and Probabilistic Representations ; Vol III: Representation, Axiomatization, and Invariance .San Diego and London: Academic Press, 1971–90; repr., Mineola, NY: Dover, 2007.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 「Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.」 Psychological Bulletin 76, no. 2 (1971): 105–10.
第六章 判斷的機制
Glanz, James, and Eric Lipton. 「The Height of Ambition,」 New York Times Magazine , September 8, 2002.
Goldberg, Lewis R. 「Simple Models or Simple Processes? Some Research on Clinical Judgments,」 American Psychologist 23, no. 7 (1968): 483–96.
——. 「Man versus Model of Man: A Rationale, Plus Some Evidence,for a Method of Improving on Clinical Inferences.」 Psychological Bulletin 73, no. 6 (1970): 422–32.
Hoffman, Paul J. 「The Paramorphic Representation of Clinical Judg ment.」 Psychological Bulletin 57, no. 2 (1960): 116–31.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 「Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness.」 Cognitive Psychology 3 (1972): 430–54.Meehl, Paul E. 「Causes and Effects of My Disturbing Little Book.」Journal of Personality Assessment 50, no. 3 (1986): 370–75.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 「Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability.」 Cognitive Psychology 5, no. 2 (1973):207–32.
第七章 預測的機制
Fischhoff, Baruch. 「An Early History of Hindsight Research.」Social Cognition 25, no. 1 (2007): 10–13.
Howard, R. A., J. E. Matheson, and D. W. North. 「The Decision to Seed Hurricanes.」 Science 176 (1972): 1191–1202. https://www.warnernorth.net/hurricanes.pdf.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 「On the Psychology of Prediction.」 Psychological Review 80, no. 4 (1973): 237–51.
Meehl, Paul E. 「Why I Do Not Attend Case Conferences.」 In Psychodiagnosis: Selected Papers , edited by Paul E. Meehl, 225–302. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1973.
第八章 醫生的思維偏誤
Redelmeier, Donald A., Joel Katz, and Daniel Kahneman. 「Memories of Colonoscopy: A Randomized Trial,」 Pain 104, nos. 1–2 (2003):187–94.
Redelmeier, Donald A., and Amos Tversky. 「Discrepancy between Medical Decisions for Inpidual Patients and for Groups.」 New England Journal of Medicine 322 (1990): 1162–64.
——. Letter to the editor. New England Journal of Medicine 323 (1990):923. https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJM199009273231320.
——. 「On the Belief That Arthritis Pain Is Related to the Weather.」Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 93, no. 7 (1996): 2895–96. https://www.pnas.org/content/93/7/2895.full.pdf.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 「Judgment under Uncertainty:Heuristics and Biases.」 Science 185 (1974): 1124–31.
第九章 心理學勇士的誕生
Allais, Maurice. 「Le Comportement de l』homme rationnel devant le risque:critique des postulats et axiomes de l』ecole americaine.」 Econometrica 21, no. 4 (1953):503–46. English summary: https://goo.gl/cUvOVb.
Bernoulli, Daniel. 「Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis,」 Commentarii Academiae Scientiarum Imperialis Petropolitanae, Tomus V [Papers of the Imperial Academy of Sciences in Petersburg, Vol. V], 1738, 175–92. Dr.Louise Sommer of American University did apparently the first translation into English: for Econometrica 22, no. 1 (1954): 23–36. See also Savage (1954) and Coombs, Dawes, and Tversky (1970).
Coombs, Clyde H., Robyn M. Dawes, and Amos Tversky. Mathematical Psychology: An Elementary Introduction . Englewood Cliffs, NJ PrenticeHall, 1970.
Kahneman, Daniel. Thinking, Fast and Slow . New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011. The Jack and Jill scenario in chapter 9 of the present book is from p. 275 of the hardcover edition.
von Neumann, John, and Oskar Morgenstern. Theory of Games and Economic Behavior . Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1944; 2nd ed., 1947.
Savage, Leonard J. The Foundations of Statistics . New York: Wiley,1954.
第十章 孤立效應：風險決策
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 「Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk.」 Econometrica 47, no. 2 (1979): 263–91.
第十一章 反事實思維的謎團
Hobson, J. Allan, and Robert W. McCarley. 「The Brain as a Dream State Generator: An Activation-Synthesis Hypothesis of the Dream Process.」American Journal of Psychiatry 134, no. 12 (1977): 1335–48.
——. 「The Neurobiological Origins of Psychoanalytic Dream Theory.」
American Journal of Psychiatry 134, no. 11 (1978): 1211–21.
Kahneman, Daniel. 「The Psychology of Possible Worlds.」 Katz-Newcomb Lecture, April 1979.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 「The Simulation Heuristic.」In Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , edited by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, 3–22. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1982.
LeCompte, Tom. 「The Disorient Express.」 Air & Space , September 2008, 38–43. https://www.airspacemag.com/military-aviation/the-disorientexpress-474780/.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 「The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice.」 Science 211, no. 4481 (1981): 453–58.
第十二章 可能性之疑雲
Cohen, L. Jonathan. 「On the Psychology of Prediction: Whose Is the Fallacy?」 Cognition 7, no. 4 (1979): 385–407.
——. 「Can Human Irrationality Be Experimentally Demonstrated?」The Behavioral and Brain Sciences 4, no. 3 (1981): 317–31. Followed by thirty-nine pages of letters, including Persi Diaconis and David Freedman,「The Persistence of Cognitive Illusions: A Rejoinder to L. J. Cohen,」 333–34, and a response by Cohen, 331–70.
——. Knowledge and Language: Selected Essays of L. Jonathan Cohen ,edited by James Logue. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Springer, 2002.
Gigerenzer, Gerd. 「How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond『Heuristics and Biases.』 」 In European Review of Social Psychology , Vol. 2,edited by Wolfgang Stroebe and Miles Hewstone, 83–115. Chichester, UK:Wiley, 1991.
——. 「On Cognitive Illusions and Rationality.」 In Probability and Rationality: Studies on L. Jonathan Cohen』s Philosophy of Science , edited by Ellery Eells and Tomasz Maruszewski, 225–49. Poznan′ Studies in the Philosophy of the Sciences and the Humanities, Vol. 21. Amsterdam: Rodopi,1991.
——. 「The Bounded Rationality of Probabilistic Mental Models.」In Rationality: Psychological and Philosophical Perspectives , edited by Ken Manktelow and David Over, 284–313. London: Routledge, 1993.
——. 「Why the Distinction between Single-Event Probabilities and Frequencies Is Important for Psychology (and Vice Versa).」 In Subjective Probability , ed. George Wright and Peter Ayton, 129–61. Chichester, UK:Wiley, 1994.
——. 「On Narrow Norms and Vague Heuristics: A Reply to Kahneman and Tversky.」 Psychological Review 103 (1996): 592–96.
——. 「Ecological Intelligence: An Adaptation for Frequencies.」 In The Evolution of Mind , edited by Denise Dellarosa Cummins and Colin Allen,9–29. New York: Oxford University Press, 1998.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 「Discussion: On the Interpretation of Intuitive Probability: A Reply to Jonathan Cohen.」 Cognition 7, no. 4(1979): 409–11.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 「Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment.」 Psychological Review 90, no. 4 (1983): 293–315.
——. 「Advances in Prospect Theory.」 Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5 (1992): 297–323. https://psych.fullerton.edu/mbirnbaum/psych466/ articles/tversky_kahneman_jru_92.pdf.
Vranas, Peter B. M. 「Gigerenzer』s Normative Critique of Kahneman and Tversky.」 Cognition 76 (2000): 179–93.
終篇 葬禮與諾獎
Redelmeier, Donald A., and Robert J. Tibshirani. 「Association between Cellular-Telephone Calls and Motor Vehicle Collisions.」 New England Journal of Medicine 336 (1997): 453–58. https://www.nejm.org/ doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199702133360701#t=article.
Thaler, Richard. 「Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice.」 Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization l (1980): 39–60. https:// www.eief.it/butler/files/2009/11/thaler80.pdf
其 他
Kazdin, Alan E., ed. Encyclopedia of Psychology . 8 vols. Washington, DC:American Psychological Association, and New York: Oxford University Press,2000.
Murchison, Carl, Gardner Lindzey, et al., eds. A History of Psychology in Autobiography . Vols. I–IX. Worcester, MA: Clark University Press, and Washington, DC: American Psychological Association, 1930–2007.